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A quid pro quo in Riyadh A crisis of US credibility and sincerity

A quid pro quo in Riyadh

UNCONVENTIONAL political leader that he is, Donald Trump chose to make Saudi Arabia his first port of call as President of the United States. After his first-ever major speech on Islam to leaders of 50 Muslim-majority countries, the jury is out: did he flunk his first test or did he develop cold feet? The leader of the most powerful country in the world is supposed to be indefatigable. But according to his spin masters, Trump was so exhausted in Saudi Arabia that instead of railing about “radical Islamic terrorism” he made a turnaround in the birthplace of Wahabism whose severe, puritan and, often, intolerant strain of Islam is held responsible for terrorism in many spots of the world.During this kind of dialogue with the new boss in the Oval Office, the Muslim leaders would have noticed that Trump forgot to berate Saudi Arabia for providing ideological fuel (and often direct military sustenance) to terrorists. The obvious explanation is Saudi Arabia’s massive $100 billion sweetener to the American military complex in the form of orders for war machines. For the most part, Trump had quite a mouthful to say about Islam and terrorism — that too in a tone and tenor radically different from the Muslim-bashing during his election days. He has jettisoned, more or less, the “clash-of-civilisation” thesis so eagerly embraced by neo-conservatives.But Trump’s obvious backsliding, even when laced with a $100 billion purchase order, did not go unnoticed. When he called on other nations to isolate Iran, Tehran promptly pointed out that these comments were a result of “milking Saudi Arabia”. His past record of backsliding, especially vis-à-vis China, had already made his reconciliatory speech to Muslims appear insincere. The $100 billion “gift” from Saudi Arabia and his refusal to pin it down must have only confirmed to the Arab political class that Trump was yet another US leader who dexterously strains to bridge the gulf between his words and deeds. Trump has barely started negotiating the treacherous world of West Asian politics. And he has pulled up short on his maiden outing.


Pak air force narrows gap as IAF struggles to get fighter jets

Indian Air Force

The first of the 36 French-made Rafale jets, equipped with latest weapons and tailored for Indian needs, will be delivered by 2019. (AP photo)

As India struggles to beef up its fighter aircraft fleet due to slow induction of new jets, the Pakistan Air Force (PAF) is narrowing the gap with the Indian Air Force.

The IAF has 33 fighter squadrons compared with almost 25 units, including those for training, of the neighbouring country, translating into a combat ratio of 1.3 to 1, defence experts say. A squadron usually has 16 to 18 fighters.

That is a significant dip from 3 to 1 in IAF’s favour in the 1980s. Five years ago, the figure stood at 1.6 to 1.

“I don’t recall the combat ratio being below 1.8 to 1,” says air chief marshal Fali Major, who headed the IAF during 2007-08.

He, however, said a squadron-to-squadron comparison wasn’t fair. “The more important thing is how many aircraft are available for missions at any given time. The IAF’s serviceability is way better than the PAF’s,” he said.

The IAF hopes to strengthen its combat units with the induction of the Tejas light combat aircraft, more Sukhoi-30s, Rafale warplanes, Indo-Russian fifth-generation fighter aircraft (FGFA) and possibly a medium-weight fighter that could be built in India in collaboration with a foreign player.

Up in the air

The upgrade plan, however, has hit a few hurdles.

The fate of the FGFA appears uncertain. While a government panel is to submit its report on the viability of the multi-billion dollar programme to develop the stealth fighter with the Russians, IAF sources said budgetary constraints could come in the way.

“We do need the platform but where is the money,” an IAF officer said on condition of anonymity.

There is a sense within the IAF that the FGFA programme is too expensive for the force. A final decision would be taken by the government after the three-member panel, conducting the cost-benefit analysis, submits its report.

Plans to build single-engine and twin-engine fighters in collaboration with foreign military contractors are yet to take off.

These proposals are covered under the government’s strategic partnership model that is still being fine-tuned.

The 36 Rafale fighter planes ordered from France after a long delay also fall short of the IAF’s original requirement of 126 medium-weight fighters.

Days before he retired in December 2016, former IAF chief air chief marshal Arup Raha said the 36 Rafale warplanes ordered for $8.7 billion were not enough and India needed at least 200 such fighter jets to sharpen its military edge.

The Rafale, equipped with latest weapons and tailored for Indian needs, will be delivered to the IAF between 2019 and 2022.

Tech edge

The IAF fleet has 14 squadrons of ageing MiG-21and MiG-27 fighters that will be retired in phases by 2024. The IAF has ordered 123 Tejas aircraft that would be delivered by 2025, if all goes to plan.

Fighters such as the Rafale, Su-30, and the upgraded Mirage-2000s were superior to any fighter in the Pakistani arsenal, former chief Major said.

“The PAF’s planes such as the F-7s and older French Mirages aren’t relevant today. In terms of technology, they really don’t match us,” he said.

The PAF operates more than 80 F-16s, including second-hand F-16A/B Block 15 jets bought from the Royal Jordanian Air Force.

Bulk of the Pakistani fleet consists of older F-16A/B fighters, now upgraded to Block 52 standards in Turkey. It also has 18 F-16C/D Block 50/52 planes. Block refers to the F-16 evolution, with a higher number representing technological upgrades.

The PAF is also inducting JF-17 Thunder fighters, sometimes compared with the Tejas. Developed jointly with China, the PAF has nearly 90 JF-17s in its fleet.

Air vice-marshal Manmohan Bahadur (retd) said India needed to act fast to retain the superiority it has traditionally enjoyed over the PAF.

“The IAF has conveyed the urgency to the government and it understands. We have been slow but if the planned inductions progress smoothly, there’s not much to worry,” said Bahadur, a distinguished fellow at New Delhi-based think tank Centre for Air Power Studies.


INDIAN ARMY GETS A NEW HOWITZER

The Army got its new artillery gun — the 155MM M777 howitzer — on Thursday. The gun, seen here operated by US soldiers against a Taliban position in Afghanistan, will replace the Bofors gun that saw service in Kargil. The ultralight M777s will be deployed in the north and east sectors. BAE will provide 25 fully­built units, and 120 more will be Made in India.See page 14

India on Thursday received its first artillery guns in almost 30 years after the Bofors scandal unfolded in the late 1980s. The two M777s that arrived in New Delhi are part of a $750-million contract with the US for 145 ultra-light howitzers.

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BSF begins operation ‘Garam Hawa’ along int’l border in Rajasthan

BSF begins operation ‘Garam Hawa’ along int’l border in Rajasthan
The operation will continue till May 23. AFP file photo

Jaisalmer, May 17

The BSF has started operation ‘Garam Hawa’ in the western sector in Rajasthan, under which vigil along the International Border with Pakistan has been stepped up.

The operation, which started on Monday, will continue till May 23.

The operation is being conducted as chances of infiltration across the border increase during intense heatwave conditions, BSF DIG Ravi Gandhi said.

He said the main aim is to reinforce and strengthen the BSF’s vigil along the border during summer. PTI


China vows $124 bn for new Silk Road Snubs absentee India, saying Belt and Road initiative respects ‘territorial integrity’

China vows $124 bn for new Silk Road
Coming closer: Russian President Vladimir Putin with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping in Beijing on Sunday. AFP

Beijing, May 14

Chinese President Xi Jinping pledged $124 billion on Sunday for his new Silk Road plan to forge a path of peace, inclusiveness and free trade, and called for the abandonment of old models based on rivalry and diplomatic power games.Xi used a summit on the initiative, attended by leaders and top officials from around the world, to bolster China’s global leadership ambitions as US President Donald Trump questions existing global free trade deals.“We should build an open platform of cooperation and uphold and grow an open world economy,” Xi told the opening of the two-day gathering in Beijing. China has touted what it formally calls the Belt and Road initiative as a new way to boost global development since Xi unveiled the plan in 2013, aiming to expand the country’s links to Asia, Africa, Europe and beyond underpinned by massive infrastructure investment.(Follow The Tribune on Facebook; and Twitter @thetribunechd)

Massive funding boost

Xi pledged a major funding boost to the new Silk Road, including an extra 100 billion yuan ($14.50 billion) into the existing Silk Road Fund, 380 billion yuan in loans from two policy banks and 60 billion yuan in aid to developing countries and international bodies in countries along the new trade routes.Leaders from 29 countries attended the forum, as well as the heads of the United Nations, International Monetary Fund and World Bank.Pakistan Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif, a close Chinese ally, praised China’s “vision and ingenuity”. “Such a broad sweep and scale of interlocking economic partnerships and investments is unprecedented in history,” Sharif said.India refused to send an official delegation to Beijing, reflecting displeasure with China for developing a $57 billion trade corridor through Pakistan that also crosses the Pakistan-occupied Kashmir. “No country can accept a project that ignores its core concerns on sovereignty and territorial integrity,” said Indian foreign ministry spokesman Gopal Baglay, adding that there were concerns about host countries taking on “unsustainable debt”. China plans to import $2 trillion of products from countries participating in its Belt and Road initiative over the next five years, commerce minister Zhong Shan said.

Unease over summit

But some Western diplomats have expressed unease about both the summit and the plan as a whole, seeing it as an attempt to promote Chinese influence globally. They are also concerned about transparency and access for foreign firms to the scheme.“We will not interfere in other countries’ internal affairs. We will not export our system of society and development model, and even more will not impose our views on others. In advancing the Belt and Road, we will not re-tread the old path of games between foes. Instead we will create a new model of cooperation and mutual benefit,” Xi said. — Reuters


What Ails the Army’s Officer Class?

Of late one increasingly hears and reads about the weaknesses in the Army’s Officer class: Law suits in the Court, statutory complaints, representations, sexual aberrations and so on. If a disciplined, motivated and specifically groomed part of our society is so affected then it is a cause for society’s and nation’s concern. Treating it as a holy cow, an exclusivist organisation not to be touched will only exacerbate the malaise.

Obedience is the sine qua non of the philosphy of soldiering. Brought up in the environment of taking every and any order ‘as a challenge and a task to be successfully tackled officers find it difficult to say no even to an unjust order. Psychologically the soldier’s pleasure of doing his superior’s bidding is great and materially equally lucrative. It satisfied his sense of duty and holds promises of advancement. Habituated to being led or ordered, and inured to that undying dictum “set example .. In his ethos charity never begins at home! As he grows in age and weight of senior rank, he sinks into no committing remoteness or studied unwillingness because the onus of interpreting orders and setting example inexorably descend on him. Whichever army has broken this chain has prospered. And history shows that more often than not those who break this chain are the middle-piece ofl1cers colonels and brigadiers.
Read more at:
http://www.indiandefencereview.com/spotlights/what-ails-the-armys-officer-class/

 


India’s longest bridge to be inaugurated near China border

India's longest bridge to be inaugurated near China border
A file photo of the Dhola-Sadiya bridge over the Brahmaputra. — PTI

Dibrugarh, May 14

India’s longest river bridge, capable of withstanding the weight of a 60-tonne battle tank, will be inaugurated in Assam close to the border with China on May 26 by Prime Minister Narendra Modi.With the inauguration of the 9.15-km Dhola-Sadiya bridge over the Brahmaputra river, the Prime Minister will kick off the celebrations of the NDA government’s three years in office from this eastern-most part of Assam.The construction of the bridge is seen as an attempt by India to shore up its defence infrastructure along the Sino-Indian border. It is also part of the Centre’s endeavour to improve connectivity in the region.It is 3.55 km longer than the Bandra-Worli sea link in Mumbai, making it the longest bridge in India.”The prime minister will dedicate the strategically important bridge to the nation on May 26. It will bolster road connectivity in the Northeast as the bridge will be used by people of Assam and Arunachal Pradesh besides defence forces extensively,” Assam Chief Minister Sarbananda Sonowal told PTI.The construction of the bridge began in 2011 at a project cost of Rs 950 crore. It has been designed to withstand the movement of military tanks.”Assam and Arunachal Pradesh have huge strategic value to the country. Since the bridge is located close to our border with China, it will help quick movement of military troops and artillery in times of conflict,” Sonowal said.The bridge is located 540 km from Assam capital Dispur and 300 km from Arunachal Pradesh capital Itanagar. The aerial distance to the Chinese border is less than 100 km.After Kaliabhomora bridge near Tezpur, there is no bridge over the Brahmaputra for the next 375 km upstream till Dhola, where the new one has been constructed. Currently, all transportation between the two banks of the river is through water.The bridge, when opened to public, will cut down the travel time between Assam and Arunachal Pradesh by as much as four hours.As there is no civilian airport in Arunachal Pradesh and this bridge will help people of the state reach the nearest rail head in Tinsukia and the airport in Dibrugarh easily.Sonowal said the construction of the bridge was expedited after Modi assumed the charge in 2014. The bridge was originally scheduled to open in 2015.The BJP government in Assam will complete one year in office on May 24.The bridge is one of the key projects of the Ministry of Road Transport and Highways in the northeast and has been built in public-private partnership. — PTI 


2 militants killed in Handwara gunfight:Two Lashkar militants killed in Handwara

2 militants killed in Handwara gunfight

Majid Jahangir

Tribune News Service

Srinagar, May 14

Two militants were killed in a gunfight in north Kashmir’s Kupwara district on Sunday.The gunfight broke this afternoon at Waripora Handwara, some 80 km from Srinagar, when police and Army launched a joint operation in the area.” As the operation was underway, militants hiding in the area opened fire triggering an encounter. Two militants were killed in the gunfight,” police sources said.A senior police officer said that two slain militants belonged to the Lashkar-e- Toiba militant organisation.

Two Lashkar militants killed in Handwara
Army men near the site of the encounter in Handwara on Sunday. Tribune Photo: Amin War

Majid Jahangir & Amin Masoodi

Tribune News Service

Srinagar/Handwara, May 14

In a major breakthrough, security forces killed two Pakistani Lashkar-e-Toiba militants who were a part of the fidayeen attack on an artillery garrison in Kupwara on April 27 that left three Army men, including an officer dead.The militants were killed in a brief gunfight in Kupwara district on Sunday when joint teams of the Army and the police launched an anti-militancy operation in Waripora village of Handwara, around 100 km from Srinagar.“Two fidayeen Lashkar militants killed in Waripora were a part of the infiltrating group that launched an attack on an Army base in Panzgam Kupwara,” J&K Police chief SP Vaid said.The Commanding Officer of 21 Rashtriya Rifles, Colonel Kuldeep Singh, said they had found evidence that confirmed the involvement of the two militants in the Panzgam attack.“We have found a wound on one of the eliminated terrorist which is indicative of likely involvement of these two terrorists in the Panzgam attack. We have found some other evidence, including the war-like stores,” Colonel Kuldeep Singh told reporters.In the first fidayeen attack of the year, an Army captain, two soldiers and two militants were killed while a militant managed to flee from the Army base at Panzgam on April 27. The artillery garrison close to the Line of Control was stormed by the militants from the rear of the camp by cutting the barbed wire.Today’s firefight erupted when the Army’s 21 RR battalion and Special Operations Group of the police, launched an anti-militancy operation following inputs about the presence of the militants.“During the 10-minute firefight, two LeT militants were killed. Their identity is being ascertained but they appear to be Pakistani nationals linked to the Lashkar,” Senior Superintendent of Police, Handwara, Ghulam Jeelani said.“Two AK-47 rifles, two pistols, four AK magazines, two pistol magazines, two UBGL grenades and other articles, including maps, were recovered from the encounter site,” he said.Police sources said for the last one week, the forces had been closely following leads about the presence of the two ultras in the area.


Mystery blast in Tral

Three persons were injured in a mysterious blast in the Tral area of Pulwama district on Saturday night. The police said the incident was being investigated. TNS

AK rifle recovered

An AK rifle and three magazines were recovered in Handwara on Sunday. The police said the recovery was made during the demolition of an old mosque in the Rajwar area of Handwara. “The locals found an AK rifle and three magazines during the demolition of an old masjid sharief in Lashipora, Rajwar. Later, the villagers informed the police and handed over the rifle and magazines to them,” a police spokesman said. TNS


Targeting Locals: New-Look Terror Strategy In Jammu And Kashmir by Lt Gen Ata Husnain

Targeting
Locals: New-Look Terror Strategy In Jammu And Kashmir

SNAPSHOT

The terrorists had targeted policemen and their families but cold blooded killings were far and few.

The aim of targeting the JKP personnel was to create dissensions in its ranks, force them to dither and be demotivated in performing their duties.

Lieutenant (Lt) Umar Fayaz, a product of a school in Anantnag, joined National Defence Academy (NDA) in December 2012 and passed out as a commissioned officer of the Indian Army in December 2016. He was allotted 2 Rajputana Rifles as his unit, an honour any young man would have been delighted to receive. This is the unit, which captured Tololing during the Kargil conflict in 1999 and was designated bravest of the brave among a few infantry units of the Indian Army. On his first leave after joining the unit, Fayaz was attending a wedding near South Kashmir’s Shupian town, some distance from his home town of Kulgam, when he was kidnapped by terrorists, who barged into the event with full knowledge of his presence. Taken away without any resistance from locals his bullet-ridden body, apparently also tortured, was found some distance away, on the road.

The successful entry of Fayaz into NDA was celebrated by many in the Valley as much as the success of so many other young Kashmiris, who crack the civil services and other competitive examinations and repeatedly find recognition in different sporting and cultural activities. Young Kashmiri women, in particular, have made it a habit to exhibit their talent in no mean way.

Entry into the officer cadre of the Armed Forces is not new. We have some very accomplished Kashmiris who have performed and achieved much in the three Services. However, ever since the commencement of militancy in 1989, there has been some reluctance to look at the Armed Forces as a career due to the separatist pressure. Yet there have still been odd cases of passion and courage and this trend was just beginning to manifest into something bigger.

It’s good for people to know that Kashmiri Muslims, Sikhs, Hindus and Buddhists all join the JAK Light Infantry or the JAK Rifles as jawans beside having vacancies in other arms of the Army. The Border Security Force, Central Reserve Police Force and Jammu and Kashmir Police (JKP) are also very popular in terms of recruitment. One has to remember the Kashmiri tendency of preferring government jobs to entrepreneurship and proclivity towards service industry. It does happen with people in conflict ridden zones where employment becomes a huge challenge.

I have laboured a bit in reminding about the bursting Kashmiri talent and its tendency to accept all the opportunities being thrown at it by mainstream India. In the same breath, it is also good to remember that even after Burhan Wani’s death on 8 July 2016 and the mayhem that Kashmir witnessed, there was no let up in the long lines at army and police recruiting centres. Many of those who threw stones also registered for recruitment. This has been a trend for long and not something new and I did point out in earlier analyses that a tehsil like Tral (Burhan Wani’s township) had given more loyal and patriotic soldiers to the army than terrorists to the Hizbul Mujahideen.

Obviously a keen mind in the terrorist cadres, separatists or the sponsors in Pakistan observing the trends and reading our analyses took a long term view of the indicators; some deft intelligence work indeed. That mind must have registered that in spite of the passions of Islamism and separatism, the need for rozi roti and Indian strategic communication efforts would drive Kashmiri youth away, as was being witnessed in the long lines in front of JAK Light Infantry Training Centre. The recognition talented Kashmiris were receiving in Bollywood and in the sports field would create a new generation that would compete with Burhan Wani and Pakistani cricketers for the role model space in Kashmir. This is unacceptable in the campaign to create alienation and antipathy against India.

In a TV panel discussion that I was part of on 10 May, the anchor proudly displayed figures to show that 94 per cent of Indians polled perceived that the killing of Lt Fayaz was out of baukhlavat or desperation. That is where he and the 94 per cent are all wrong because their response was from the top off the head and not from experience and analysis. This is no desperation, it’s a deep and well-thought strategy, which only a devious but extremely sharp mind can conceive. It has a long-term aim and its implications for India are extremely negative. The killing of Lt Fayaz preceded by the killing of five Kashmiri policemen and two bank guards signifies a change in the nature of militancy, where there are no qualms about who the victims are; Kashmiris are no different to others.

In the history of Kashmir’s militancy there have been stereotypes, which have come to form perceptions even in military minds. The Al Firan kidnapping of five foreigners in 1995, the beheading of one of them and disappearance of others stamped the viciousness of the foreign terrorist. By and large the impression of local militants was that they were more benign, did not target locals or politicians and lacked the killer instinct. None of this is actually true, as witnessed in numerous beheadings of sources, killing of sarpanchs and even elimination of Ikhwans (counter groups). It’s however true that none of these were executed with any strategy. We witnessed one off killings of local Territorial Army, Home and Hearth personnel, but most of these were personal feuds and too spaced out to give perception of any strategy.

The terrorists had targeted policemen and their families but cold blooded killings were far and few. The aim of targeting the JKP personnel was to create dissensions in its ranks, force them to dither and be demotivated in performing of their duties. The JKP is no mean police force. Having seen many a brave Kashmiri policeman in operations, I salute their resilience in the face of such intimidation. Since they did not wilt under duress, the choice of sending a stronger message fell on the selection of a military target.

Obviously someone was keeping tabs on Lt Fayaz’s movements. This is hardly surprising considering the vast network of agents that the separatists and terrorists have. The intimidation of JKP policemen has also led to a dilution in the intelligence capability of the security forces (SF). But what are the implications of this event and how should these be avoided in the future, is what the reader would wish to know.

The first implication is that it’s now a no holds barred situation. The gloves should be off as far as the army and other security forces are concerned. There is nothing benign about local militancy and let that sink into every soldier’s mind. That does not mean a spree of intimidation of locals but more discretion and more energy. The numbers in South Kashmir as far as army deployment is concerned have not moved in sync with threats. These must be reviewed.

To throttle the freedom of movement of terrorists and simultaneously handle agitation there is a need for more police and more army. Kulgam needs an RR Sector HQ. During the heyday of high-level militancy in the 1990s it always had one. More units are immediately required in the Weebagh, Kulgam and Shupian triangle. It has to be back to basics type operations; many checkpoints, many cordon and search operations, source development and even search and destroy operations in the numerous karewas and forest clumps, which dot this area and its flanks.

What should be worrying the security man’s mind; this is for the senior army and policemen? It should be the extent to which the local terrorists are willing to go. Progressively, I would look at threats such as targeting of Indian tourists to paralyse an already stricken economy, the targeting of Amarnath Yatra, for the sheer intimidation and lastly a potential resort to suicide bombing. None of this may happen but when you deal with snakes and scorpions, who run this campaign from across the border, one should preferably allow threats to be perceived from flights of fancy.

 

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A dastardly act Amid protests governance marginalised

A dastardly act

The killing of Lieutenant Umar Fayaz, a Kashmiri in the Indian Army, in Shopian in South Kashmir, obliterates all the distinction between the soldiers on duty and those on leave. This is a gruesome departure even from the standards of terrorism. It is a horrible manifestation of the prevailing culture of hate in which anyone siding with the security forces is considered an enemy and has to be purged. The tacit approval of such atrocious acts of the Kashmiri awaam — out of fear or out of sympathy for them — is an invitation for more violence.In this atmosphere governance has gone for a six. Governance has fallen victim to violence and the fear-gripped politics. The political space has shrunk to an alarming level. The reopening of the government offices in Srinagar on Monday as part of the durbar move practice saw the resumption of protests with greater intensity. Nothing has changed for the people, and the government is as remote as it has been since July last year when the killing of a militant, Burhan Wani,  pushed governance to the margins. Chief Minister Mehbooba Mufti finds herself isolated as ministers and others flee the Valley as and when she needs them the most. The aimless ministerial reshuffle earlier this year has added to her woes. The ministers and other PDP leaders grudgingly accept her as their leader. Her political constituency and charisma have suffered an almost irreparable dent.The alliance partner, the BJP, is caught in its own infighting. It speaks in multiple voices. One of its spokespersons, arguing that since the Kashmir situation is not conducive for the people of Jammu to visit violence-swept  Srinagar, has called for an “abandoning” of the more-than-century old durbar move practice which is based on the idea of making governance  more  accessible  to the peoples  of the two regions on a rotational basis. The party is missing a larger point. The closure of the durbar in Kashmir amounts to a withdrawal from the Valley. It would have a profound impact on the integrity of Jammu and Kashmir. The BJP is betraying signs of a clueless leadership.