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Major Handa posed as ‘bizman’ to lure women

Major Handa posed as ‘bizman’ to lure women

Major Nikhil Rai Handa

Prateek Chauhan

Tribune News Service

New Delhi, June 26The police on Tuesday took Major Nikhil Rai Handa, arrested for the murder of Shelja Dwivedi — the wife of another Army officer, Major Amit Dwivedi — to the scene of the crime besides other places, including shop from where he bought the Swiss knife, linked to the case.It is learnt that Dwivedi was not the only woman approached by Handa. He had allegedly created a fake profile on the social media to lure women into his trap.On analysing the two mobile phones recovered from Handa, it was found that Handa was close to three other women. The police were planning to call them to record their statements. Major Handa was first taken to the Army Base Hospital and then to the route taken by him after the alleged murder.According to police sources, Handa had posted two profiles on the social media — one as an Army officer and another posing as a businessmen. It was the second profile that he used to befriend women.In 2015, when Major Handa was posted in Jammu and Kashmir, he befriended Shelja using his fake profile. Six months later, he disclosed his identity and Shelja agreed to meet him.He was later posted to Meerut in UP and subsequently to Deemapur in Nagaland. In Deemapur, he started meeting Shelja regularly, during the course of which she introduced him to husband.


A hard outlook will have pitfalls in Kashmir by Arun Joshi

The state is hurting. Some degree of sensitivity and a ‘highly disciplined’ approach will possibly yield better results. The security forces must remain calm in the event of any provocation.

A hard outlook will have pitfalls in Kashmir

ON EDGE: Kashmiris are now hyper-sensitive about their identity and dignity: siding with separatists is a manifestation of that emotion.

Arun Joshi

KASHMIR is happy, somewhat. The PDP-BJP split was much awaited; by people who were unable to reconcile to the rule of the saffron party by proxy. Fear was deeply entrenched in the minds of the locals that right-wing Hindutva forces, with the high pitch for the abrogation of Article 370, may succeed in undermining Kashmir’s special status. Naturally, Kashmiri Muslims were insecure after the alliance came about. And so, it became easier to support the forces of violence, as for them, the PDP had committed an unpardonable sin by shaking hands with the BJP; and getting nothing in return. The first shocker came when the Centre delayed the flood relief package by more than a year after the devastating floods in the autumn of 2014, a couple of months before the Assembly elections that year.The PDP-BJP government has disappeared from the corridors of power, but the apprehensions of Kashmiris have not. Aware of political expediencies and vulnerabilities of the parties, they suspect more political compromises may be in the offing. They are waiting and watching the developments very closely. The street mood will be determined by the governance they get, and the way they are treated at their homes, and out on the streets. Kashmiris have become hyper-sensitive about their identity and dignity — siding with secessionist forces is a manifestation of that emotion.Some voices in the BJP are linking a ‘hard approach’ toward militants as a way of pulling out Kashmir from the vicious cycle of violence it finds itself in. They believe the militants would/should be hunted and neutralised but forget that this approach prevailed earlier too and nothing came of it.What is really needed is to take into account the attendant pressing matters that have come into play over the past two years — the  civilian population, mostly youth with rocks thronging encounter sites  and disrupting anti-militancy operations; and the clashes that follow as a result of accidental civilian killings, or what is seen as ‘collateral damage’. Over these two years, the civilian population has identified itself with militants, primarily for two reasons. First, many militants are locals. They are boys they saw in the neighbhourhood, hence the affinity which exists in the well-knit Muslim society.Second, they do not perceive the violent acts as being out of sync with their newly-acquired ethos of resistance. It is a big shift — this ‘new-found’ relationship between the civilians and the militants. In the 1990s, the militants were seen as mujahideen (warriors). There were no doubts. They had picked up the gun and should be ready for the consequences — to die fighting the security forces. Sympathy and sentiment was surely with them, but it was not manifested in the desperate and visible attempts to save them while risking their own lives; as we see now. This is the fundamental truth of the changed situation in Kashmir. The psyche of the common Kashmiri has undergone a sea change.Today, the way of looking at the militants has changed, almost hero-like: their arms training may be limited to few weeks, even less, but they are hardened. They have shown their will and grit to fight unto the last. What is more, there is societal approval of their ‘sacrifices’.  Some of them have spurned appeals of their parents to return home.Some extraordinary real-life visuals have paled the reel-life images — the mother of Saddam Padder, a top militant of Shopian in South Kashmir recently killed in an encounter, giving a gun salute to her slain son. Her gesture left a deep impact on the minds of youngsters who watched the video that went viral on social media; and is seen as a universal endorsement of militancy by their mothers.In such circumstances, reckless actions, with the rhetoric of hard approach, (BJP general secretary Ram Madhav has distanced his party from it) — without taking into account the fallout — have the potential to blow up in the face. The way forward should be specific operations without making much noise. It will help keep civilians out of harm’s way. This is important, because there is widespread impression that the security forces will be striking hard, not necessarily a militant-specific action. It will be deemed as an action against the people who would come to defend them. Stone-throwers will not only seek to disrupt the cordon and search operations — a prelude to the actual gunfight with militants — but also attack patrol parties.This phenomenon is interlinked. Militants attack convoys of security forces even as stone-throwers use tactics to distract, thereby creating situations where the Army and police either suffer casualties or inflict casualties. At times, both sides suffer casualties, speeding up the cycle of killings.Kashmir-centric parties, the PDP and the National Conference are convinced that the hard approach is not the answer to the problem. Other ways can be found to ease the situation without making the hard approach visible: the security forces must change their attitude towards the public at large. Treating the common Kashmiri with contempt and suspicion will only breed a psyche of resistance and rebellion. A highly disciplined approach would yield better results. Effort should be made to stay calm in the event of any provocation.The past cannot be reversed, but the future can be built on, with a new and sophisticated approach.ajoshi57@gmail.com


The killing of Bukhari is a potential tipping point by Lt Gen Syed Ata Hasnain

  in his famous book ‘Tipping Point’ explained the title with the description – “the moment of critical mass, the threshold, the boiling point”; classically the point at which a nudge either way could make the difference, perhaps change the situation. It can be extrapolated to real life situations, particularly in as turbulent an environment as Jammu & Kashmir. We worked on this once before attempting to take an internal security situation to a point where the popular wish was to go beyond and never return. It almost succeeded, reached the crucial stage but could not tip beyond for a variety of reasons.

The killing of

Shujaat Bukhari

 by elements that obviously disliked his middle path approach and, in particular, his take on the suspension of operations as an opportunity beyond the ordinary, is in my perception one of those junctures of history where the tipping point could be crossed through a positive nudge. Yet, binaries cannot work in such a situation. When disgust and condemnation against violence become the common sentiments, people are more open to gestures considered as magnanimous.

In 2011, after three years of unabated street violence, loss of children’s academic years, poor tourist seasons and low business sentiment even for Kashmir’s iconic fruit industry, the populace was yearning for a period of peace. Its pride failed to let it admit it but it yearned for gestures that could bring even a semblance of peace and normalcy. Social media had not yet made its entry in any transformational way but sincerity of purpose and a public outreach system which went beyond the ordinary exemplified India’s commitment towards peace. The Kashmiri media too was excited by the change in approach. It was nothing but an appeal to the people to join hearts with the nation, feel the pulse of change and participate in it through mutual trust and confidence.

Bukhari’s death brings forth the notion of irrationality that is prevalent among those who wish to employ violence to take Kashmir away from India. It may need spontaneity, sincerity and only a bit of rationality to explain why that may never be a reality but within the idea of India much more can be achieved with dignity and accommodation. The situation probably seeks the application of brilliant minds to meander through the maze of complexity of emotions. It’s a moment for leadership to emerge and show the way. India has never been short of the power of the mind and any application at the current juncture will reveal that

people can change if they sense sincerity. It is not the time that single minds will produce ideas that can be the engines of change but it is a time for collective thinking and soul searching. Promoters of violence are few and they have had the public mind in their grip with the thought of achievability of their aims. If the public can be swayed by sentiments of the killing of young terrorist leaders, it can equally be moved to express disgust for actions which trigger more hatred and even more violence in an unending spiral.

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No one is suggesting that immediate action be initiated. All that is being ideated about is the thought that sentiments for peace can be stronger than the emotions of violence. With the world in reset mode and the most intractable conflicts under possible resolution, the thought of handing over conflict situations from generation to generation without consideration towards the regression in human progress is a phenomenon we need to be acutely aware of. Triggered by the emotions of the moment, can we make a difference? Why not?

(The writer is a retired lieutenant general who commanded the Army’s 15 Corps in Jammu & Kashmir)

TOP COMMENT

The most significant point that Ata makes is that in the affairs of Kashmir public policy making is to bridge the gap between the realm of ideas and the domain of public policy making. The stakeholders are the non governmental public intellectuals who have not been tapped so far. Those tapped are well known writers and journalists whose views were well known and hence no fresh thinking has been imbibed in this process. What Ata is talking is the imposition of the combined genius of the entire Indian thinking rooted in the idea of “INDIA” That alone will give not only out of box thinking but also a viable fresh thinking about the entire situation in Kashmir. It is not bureaucratic, political, governmental or the tactical thinking that matters now but a much more situational analysis of the sociological and perhaps anthropological perspective that must be done to find a way so as to strategise tactics to bring peace in the valley. The tacticising of strategy from the point of view of action by the processes undertaken so far must be augmented by the fresh realm of ideas for creating a new public policy making in Kashmir. It is this seminal aspect that Ata has enumerated as a person who is deeply rooted to find a lasting solution to the present situation. I only hope that the constitutional powers understand what Ata is talking in between the lines. When information based analysis is mixed only with experience and judgement, there is always a pitfall of not taking a wise decision. The information must be distilled to create a knowledge base and then the knowledge must be combined with compassion to cull out wisdom for the formulation of a public policy to bring peace and tranquility to Kashmir which has always been classified due to its natural beauty, environment and the Kashmiriyat as the “paradise on earth”. Professor Gautam Sen, Pune

Gautam Sen

 


A Petty Quarrel by Lt Gen by Bhopinder Singh |

Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal on dharna at the LG's office.Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal on dharna at the LG’s office. (File) 

The unending Delhi saga of “full statehood” versus “partial statehood” has less to do with constitutional correctness and more to do with the political compulsions, instincts and pettiness. The dissonance over Delhi’s status dates back to the Sheila Dikshit era. Relations between the then chief minister and lieutenant general were tense even though the Congress held office at both the state and the Centre. It has not changed. The principle of special sensitivities for national capitals (for example, Washington DC, London, Paris etc.) on account of their national and international importance, geographical location and strategic significance has been consistently invoked to make a case for Delhi’s claim to “full statehood” to be treated differently from that for Goa, or even a more empowered “partial statehood” in Puducherry.

The result is a fractured arrangement of power-sharing, with law and order, land and services residing with the central government. This arrangement has always been contested by the state government. Such constitutional arrangements militate against the preferences of the “elected government”, which is accountable to the citizens. Political parties that endorse the “full statehood” demand in manifestos, however, fall silent on winning power at the Centre. The state government’s frustrations are understandable. The AAP formed the government after winning 67 of the 70 seats in the 2015 Delhi assembly elections. The formation of the government was followed by the LG’s office imposing more constraints like disabling the power of the state government to transfer employees, ordering vigilance probes on complaints or proceeding against corrupt officials.

These questionable restrictions also came in the backdrop of unprecedented theatrics. A perfectly legitimate grouse about the timing and the intent of these notifications was soon lost in the personalised, combative and anarchic retaliation from the party in power in the state. The expanding political ambitions of the AAP, which went beyond Delhi, may have also contributed to the widening of the Centre-state divide. The Centre successfully and, perhaps unfairly, checkmated the state government. Meanwhile, the party running the state government took the battle to Varanasi and Punjab. The forays were unsuccessful, leaving the party even more frustrated. Even on the current issue of the “strike” by Delhi’s bureaucrats, the essential character of the protests has been theatrical and obstructionist. The IAS association has refuted the allegations (that the bureaucrats are hampering the work of the government) as “unwarranted and baseless”. The association points to the passing of the state budget and the accompanying budget session as proofs of a working machinery. The sense that bureaucrats have been “agitated” following the alleged attack on the Delhi chief secretary has sullied the environment.

Trust between the political class and bureaucracy is necessary for good governance. The impasse in Delhi suggests a total breakdown in the relations between the two sections. It also implies that the entire administrative staff is against the state government. This is not possible given the diversity and scale of the administrative machinery. The government must introspect and adopt a more mature approach to the bureaucracy. Slandering the entire administration as corrupt may rouse the cadres, but yields diminishing returns in the long term.

The state government is well within its moral right to demand the inclusion or exclusion of any official on basis of apolitical and professional considerations, as opposed to intemperate, whimsical and blanket aspersions cast on the entire “system”. The means and expressions of the current protest reflect reciprocal pettiness and diminution of constitutional sobriety. Unintentionally, the case for more empowerment of the Delhi state government — not “full statehood” — may have further stalled with the repeated optics of the “sleep-in” at the Raj Niwas waiting room: It is reminiscent of the AAP’s 2014 street protests outside Rail Bhawan. Delhi with its commitments to international confabulations, transit infrastructure, inter-intra dependence on neighbouring states and stately ceremonies cannot risk fanciful drama. This round of LG-CM spat has further diminished the nobility of constitutional offices, without achieving the desired corrections.


Shimla man gets 3 months in jail for delay in filing return

CHANDIGARH:A district court sent a Shimla man to three months of rigorous imprisonment for failing to file his income tax return on time.

The court of chief judicial magistrate Akshdeep Mahajan also imposed a fine of ₹8,000 on the convict, Sanjay Kumar Sood, for wilfully failing to furnish return of his income.

Deputy commissioner of income tax Laganpreet Sandhu had moved a complaint against Sood, mentioning that Sood had not filed tax return worth ₹13.8 lakh on the due date for the assessment year 2012-13, which was September 30, 2012.

The complaint mentioned that Sood, without any reasonable cause, had instead filed the return on April 2, 2013 (beyond the deadline).

Accordingly, a show-cause notice dated February 5, 2014 was issued to him, in a reply to which he claimed that he had deposited the tax voluntarily as March 31, 2013, was a Sunday and April 1 was a bank holiday relating to assessment year 2012-13.

Sood’s reply claimed that the belated return was voluntarily submitted within time allowed under section 139(4) of the Income Tax Act, so there was no intent on his part to evade tax before any notice was issued.

However, the complaint said the notice was issued only after obtaining the requisite sanction under Section 279 (1) of the Act.

Meanwhile, Sood’s counsel had submitted that instant prosecution against the accused was illegal, and on account of ulterior motive by the officers of income tax department.

It was also contended that Sood had filed the return for the assessment year 2011-12 in time and that for 2012-13 was also filed in time with tax on the delayed period.

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Training will help combat terror’

DEHRADUN: Gentleman cadets from friendly nations said they will use Indian Military Academy (IMA) training in fighting terrorism in their countries.

Seventy four cadets from friendly nations took part in the passing out parade of IMA, Dehradun on Saturday after finishing their training. The cadets will be commissioned as army officers in armies of their respective countries.

Among the foreign cadets, 45 were from Afghanistan. Afghan cadets said they were determined to fight for their country against Taliban. One of them Asadullah Naimi from Badakshan province said, “I will use IMA training to fight Taliban in my country. The experience here at IMA and India is unforgettable.”

Speaking on difference between training given in Afghanistan and IMA, Naimi said, “Back in Afghanistan the focus is on arms training and running with heavy loads on back. But here in IMA, lot of emphasis is given on PT exercises and cross-country race. It makes one tough both mentally and physically.”

Nigerian cadet STJ Minimah said he will fight Boko Haram in Nigeria. “Our country is affected by one of the deadliest terrorist organiations Boko Haram.”


Bluestar as a tragedy and a reminder by Pritam Singh

A suggestion for an Indian government in the future oriented towards reconciliation could be to take a bold step in following South Africa’s example of establishing a truth and reconciliation commission.

Bluestar as a tragedy and a reminder

RAGIC: People gather at Golden Temple to mourn the deaths caused during Operation Bluestar in Amritsar. Tribune photo: Yog Joy (file)

Pritam Singh
Professor, Oxford Brookes University, UKJUNE 6 marks the 34th anniversary of Operation Bluestar. With one-third of a century on, how do we describe this action, and what meaning do we attach to it? Do we describe it, as the Congress ideologists did then, as a holy task undertaken by the Indian military to clear the temple of the militants who had taken control of it? Or do we describe it, as some Indian nationalists and Leftists do, as a sad and necessary action to defeat an imperialist conspiracy to disintegrate India? Do we celebrate it, as some Hindu nationalists do, as a successful assertion of India’s Hindu supremacy against the Sikh minority’s separatist aspirations? Or do we condemn it, as Sikh and Punjabi nationalists do, as a genocidal attack on Sikh dignity, assertion and identity? Perhaps, we decry it, as most human rights defenders and Leftists do, as a tragedy resulting in the deaths of thousands of human beings — pilgrims, priests, Sikh combatants and Indian army men?The contesting descriptions of Operation Bluestar and the meanings attached to it are reflections of serious fault lines in the Indian society and polity. To say that there would never be a consensus on how to describe and signify this military action may be unreasonable and ahistorical. But to say that there is little likelihood of a consensus in the foreseeable future would be alluding to an uncomfortable truth about the fractured nature of Indian nationhood. However this operation is described and whatever meaning is subsequently attached to it, one thing is clear: one day, everyone else might want to forget it — and,  might succeed in doing so — but this will never be true of the Sikh community.

The third ghallughara

Operation Bluestar has become an integral part of the Sikh collective historical memory. It has become the third ghallughara (holocaust) in Sikh history — the first referring to the massacre of some 10,000 Sikhs in 1746; the second to the even larger massacre of Sikh men, women and children in 1762, when 30,000 (nearly 50 per cent of the population) were slaughtered in Punjab. Today, the available evidence suggests that many (though not all) gurdwaras in India and abroad include references to the third ghallughara in their daily ardas, or prayers.The most reliable estimates of the total number of deaths during Operation Bluestar are anywhere from 5,000 to 7,000. Yet, a crucial difference between the third ghallughara and the previous two is that this massacre occurred in the Golden Temple, while the first two took place on open battlefields. This gives an added religious dimension to the significance of the military action: a much larger number of Sikhs died during Partition, but the 1947 deaths are not seen in terms of attacks on and in defence of religion. In religious terms, the largest Sikh loss in 1947 was the fact that the Nankana Sahib gurudwara — marking the birthplace of Guru Nanak, the founder of the faith — was suddenly located in Pakistan. This, too, was a loss that today figures in the daily ardas.

Human rights approach

What should be the human rights approach in dealing with the complex situation of destruction, loss and pain associated with Bluestar? It could be to put forward a position of truth, accountability and justice as a methodology to study and a tool with which to deal with this painful situation. One can hope that truth and justice can heal the wounds, and there can be sound grounds based on an understanding of human history that such a hope is not wholly unfounded. However, one is also simultaneously troubled that the truth may never be allowed to come out and that justice may never be done because of the complicated conflicts of competing nationalisms implicated in this tragedy. Another dimension of human history which creates pessimism is that history is also full of intractable conflicts and continuing injustices.As for how to think about Bluestar, first and foremost, it was a massive human tragedy. It was a tragedy that could have been avoided if — and that is a big if —- Indira Gandhi had had a larger vision to reach a political settlement with the moderate Akali leadership. Most Akali Dal demands — regarding federal decentralisation, river water rights, territorial readjustment and the transfer of Chandigarh to Punjab as its capital — could have been negotiated. In 1985, Rajiv Gandhi agreed in the Rajiv-Longowal Accord to each of these demands, plus many more. It is a different matter that he implemented none.Indira Gandhi’s political calculations — those of using the ‘Hindu card’ for electoral victories — led her to deliberately choose a dangerous path of confrontation, first with the Akalis and eventually with the entire Sikh community. She paid for this miscalculation with her life, but still left Punjab and India communally scarred and polarised. Sikh nationalism was defeated militarily, but Hindu nationalism was unleashed so powerfully that the Hindu nationalists succeeded within a few decades to capture the Indian state.Regarding the demands that led to the Akali agitation of the early 1980s, the situation today remains where we were back then. As far as accountability for atrocities committed during Bluestar and subsequently during the conflict between the Indian state and the armed opposition Sikh groups is concerned, one suggestion for an Indian government in the future oriented towards reconciliation could be to take a bold step in following South Africa’s example of establishing a truth and reconciliation commission. No one wants history to be repeated. The least anyone can do today is to remember those thousands — pilgrims, priests, politicians, traders, militants, policemen and soldiers — who became victims in the tragedy of the third Sikh ghallughara.


On Unprovoked Attacks During Ramzan, Defence Minister’s Message To Pak

On Unprovoked Attacks During Ramzan, Defence Minister's Message To Pak

NEW DELHI: 

HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Home Ministry data shows attacks in Kashmir rising
  2. The government had announced a Ramzan ceasefire
  3. Will respond to any unprovoked attack, says Defence Minister
  Defence Minister Nirmala Sitharaman today categorically said India will honour the Ramzan ceasefire in Jammu and Kashmir but will respond to any unprovoked attack.

“When it is an unprovoked attack, the army was given the right to retaliate… We honour the ceasefire but a margin was given to us when there is an unprovoked attack,” Ms Sitharaman said at a function to mark her ministry’s achievements in Delhi today.

Amid repeated terror attacks in Jammu and Kashmir and repeated ceasefire violations by Pakistan at the border, the government had announced that the security forces will desist from anti-terror operations in Jammu and Kashmir.
Last month, data collated by the home ministry, however, showed that the number of terror attacks in the Valley has been on the rise and civilians have been facing the brunt of it. While four incidents of terrorist violence were reported in the valley a week before the initiative was announced on May 16, the number rose to 13 a week after.

Over the last four days, 10 attacks have taken place in the Valley. In the last one, which took place yesterday, 14 civilians and two police officers were injured. Terror group Jaish-e-Mohammed has claimed responsibility for the attacks.

The defence minister said it was not her ministry’s role to “assess whether ceasefire in Jammu and Kashmir has been successful or not”.

But she made it clear that unprovoked attacks even at the border will not go unpunished. “It is our business to guard the border and we won’t stop if we’re provoked. We shall be alert that no unprovoked attack goes without us responding. It’s our duty to keep India safe,” she said.


Pieces of peace by Syed Ata Hasnain

Peace initiatives on LoC, and internally in J&K, must be enthusiastically welcomed, but not taken at face value

india pak ceasefire, loc, india pakistan peace, loc ceasefire 2003 agreement, jammu kashmir, indian express

Peace initiatives on LoC, and internally in J&K, must be enthusiastically welcomed, but not taken at face value.

At 6 pm on May 29, the Director Generals of Military Operations (DGMOs) of India and Pakistan reportedly spoke to each other as part of the weekly Tuesday call and agreed to effectively implement the informal November 26, 2003, ceasefire at the Line of Control (LoC) in J&K. While there is much debate about who made the first move, that is irrelevant. All one should do as the first response is to welcome the move while being circumspect about it.

There has been destruction and loss of lives of civilians and soldiers on both sides. A few days ago in a television programme, in the wake of large-scale violations by Pakistan, I said that either there is peace or India should undertake vertical and horizontal escalation to draw Pakistan into a war of attrition at the LoC, including deploying the army at the Jammu international border (IB). We should be glad that the idea of peace has prevailed.

The move towards proper implementation of the informal ceasefire of 2003 should not come as a surprise. It is, however, important to note some facts about the 2003 ceasefire and its history through the subsequent 15 years in order to get a clearer perspective of the current decision and its possible effectiveness and longevity. In November 2003, there were backroom parleys which led to the much-touted Musharraf initiative; India allowed the credit to go Pakistan’s way. Infiltration attempts were still rife and the proxy conflict in J&K was sustained through the numbers that successfully penetrated the Indian dragnet at the LoC.

The ceasefire facilitated the construction of the Anti-Infiltration Obstacle System (AIOS) in a quicker time frame. In November 2003, the war in Afghanistan had been on for about two years. Pakistan was not under any international pressure except to support the US operations. Unfriendly terrorists had not yet appeared on Pakistan’s internal security radar. It is generally believed that Musharraf risked it but it was motivated by seriousness to pursue his four-point formula with then Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee. However, it lacked the support of Pakistan’s powerful corps commanders.

Musharraf’s intent was timed with then Chief Minister Mufti Mohammad Sayeed’s serious effort to bring into effect his “healing touch” policy; a humanitarian effort to calm the internal environment in J&K. It was preceded by PM Vajpayee’s April 2003 initiative, urging treatment of the people of J&K with greater compassion.

The ceasefire lasted in letter and spirit as long as Musharraf was in power. Even before the Mumbai attacks, violations had begun. The effectiveness got progressively diluted till it hit a nadir this year. For Pakistan, in the face of the waning effectiveness of its capability to calibrate the hinterland situation in J&K, tension at the LoC became an instrument to remind the international community of the existence of the J&K issue.

Surprisingly, the ceasefire along the 750-km LoC held effectively in the Kargil and Siachen sectors of the Ladakh division and only sporadic violations occurred in the Kashmir segment where, except for Uri and occasionally Tangdhar, the LoC remained peaceful. An age-old notion that ceasefire violations occurred primarily to aid infiltration was also laid to rest as infiltration attempts continued primarily in Kashmir although a few attempts were also made in the Jammu division and along the IB. The targeting of the Hindu population in the Jammu division, including the IB sector, was generally ascribed to Pakistan’s intent to cause greater communal dissension within the people of J&K and fracturing of the polity to aid the turbulence it aimed for in the hinterland.

So what has changed and why should keen observers have sensed something in the offing towards the current peace move? First, the situation in Pakistan is none too stable. Financially, Pakistan has just borrowed a billion USD from China to sustain its forex reserve and avoid having to go to the IMF. Its forex reserve has fallen to $10.8 billion. Second, it is on the back foot with the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) which is due to review its grey listing to see whether Pakistan has fulfilled obligations to prevent terror financing. A blacklisting would place Pakistan in the dock. Third, for some time now, the security establishment in Pakistan has been playing games to test the environment — the Bajwa Doctrine with its vagueness, backroom talks between the National Security Advisors and a couple of Track 2 dialogues in which the Indians remained non-committal due to the trust deficit.

The Indian decision to stick to a robust response at the LoC/IB was creating problems notwithstanding the Pakistani bravado with which the civilian areas were targeted. Fourth, the cessation of operations in J&K was received positively by the people with Pakistan acting as the spoiler at the border. With the FATF watchful, Pakistan was muted on the Indian initiative, although terror groups rejected it outright. It was perhaps a combination of factors in which the tentative political environment of Pakistan, too, played its part.

Although peace initiatives at the LoC or internally in J&K must receive enthusiastic welcome, they must never be taken at face value. Unless matching add-ons accompany such initiatives, they at best remain uncertain. What needs to be pursued holistically is a follow-up to get the DGMOs to meet, free of political baggage and in a proper format quite unlike the flag meeting format adopted the last time in 2013.

Enablers to formalise the ceasefire through drawn up rules of engagement must be equally pursued; that was an agreed weakness the last time. Alternate hotlines need to be established at lower levels in identified sectors to allow lower commanders to speak without hesitation and clarify local misgivings. Pakistan, on its part, must desist from supporting infiltration — the single issue which can upset the applecart.

India needs to take the ceasefire and the cessation of operations in the hinterland together and create an environment of hope, notwithstanding the maverick elements who will continue to act as spoilers. Perhaps the J&K chief minister’s words of wisdom, that the decisions need to be taken one step at a time, is a good mantra. These should be examined for their individual and combined worth and efforts undertaken to strengthen them even as other efforts are made to try and bring about some trust to sustain the situation and improve on it.

The writer, a former corps commander of the Srinagar-based 15 Corps, is associated with Delhi Policy Group and Vivekananda International Foundation