Tribune News Service

New Delhi, October 24

The Ministry of Defence has decided not to accept Rs 5 crore which film  producer Karan Johar had been asked to deposit in the armed forces’ battle casualty fund in lieu of his movie  ‘Ai Dil Hai Mushkil’ being allowed to be released. MoD sources said the battle casualty fund accepts only voluntary donations.There is a procedure for vetting each such donation. Donations to the fund are allowed income tax rebate. There can be no money coming in which is not voluntary, officials confirmed.

Defence Minister Manohar Parrikar

Panaji, October 23

Faced with a barrage of criticism from various quarters over his statements on cross-LoC strikes by the Army, Defence Minister Manohar Parrikar today said he has stopped using the word “strike”.The minister had faced flak from the Opposition for a flurry of remarks over the surgical strikes carried out by the Army in Pakistan-occupied Kashmir in September.“I will not touch any controversial issue. I have already stopped using the word ‘strike’,” Parrikar, who was in his home state of Goa, said during the inauguration of a helicopter engines’ maintenance unit in Sattari tehsil.On October 17, Parrikar had appeared to give credit to “RSS teaching” for the decision to launch cross-LoC surgical strikes even as he slammed those seeking proof for the Army’s anti-terror operation.He had also trashed claims of such operations under the UPA, provoking a counter-offensive from the Congress, which accused him of “blatant politicisation” of the issue. The Congress had demanded that the Prime Minister tame his “belligerent” minister and apologise to the Army. — PTI

‘Charis make better arms than OFB’

• Defence Minister Manohar Parrikar on Sunday said the local ‘chari’ community, listed in backward class, probably makes better arms than the Ordnance Factory Boards
• They (chari community) have skills with them. We need to harness that skill by giving training to switch over from age-old technologies which they are using to the latest ones,” he said

Have already stopped using the word strike: Parrikar

The minister had faced flak from the Opposition for a flurry of remarks over the surgical strikes carried out by the Army in Pakistan-occupied Kashmir in September. PTI file photo

Panaji, October 23

Defence Minister Manohar Parrikar said on Sunday he has stopped using the word “strike”, as he faces criticism from various quarters over his statements on cross-LoC strikes by the Army.

The minister had faced flak from the Opposition for a flurry of remarks over the surgical strikes carried out by the Army in Pakistan-occupied Kashmir in September.

“I will prefer to address the gathering in local language. I hardly get an opportunity to address in local language. But I promise you I will not touch any controversial issue. I have already stopped using the word strike,” Parrikar, who was in his home state of Goa, said during the inauguration of a helicopter engines maintenance unit in Sattari tehsil.

“You brought the term (strike) in your speech referring to labour issues,” he said on a lighter note after the speech by Chief Minister Laxmikant Parsekar during the event.

On October 17, Parrikar had appeared to give credit to “RSS teachings” for the decision to launch cross-LoC surgical strikes even as he slammed those seeking proof for the Army’s anti-terror operation.

The minister had also trashed claims of such operations under the UPA, provoking a counter offensive from the Congress, which accused him of “blatant politicisation” of the issue.

Condemning Parrikar for rejecting its claim of surgical strikes having been undertaken by the Army under UPA, Congress had demanded that Prime Minister Narendra Modi tame his “belligerent” minister and BJP chief Amit Shah, and apologise to the armed forces.

The surgical strikes were carried out on seven terror launch pads across the LoC, with the Army inflicting “significant casualties” on terrorists preparing to infiltrate from PoK. The strikes of September 29 came days after Prime Minister Narendra Modi warned that the Uri attack, which left 19 Indian soldiers dead, would not go unpunished. — PTI

To what extent the US Air Force will follow humanitarian norms in Mosul cannot yet be assessed. The battle for the core of the city will be equally bloody contingent upon the will of the defender, the resources available and the effectiveness or otherwise of the isolation and investment of the city.

Retaking Mosul: Soldiers of the Iraqi army raise their weapons in celebration on the outskirts of Qayyarah, Iraq, on October 19, 2016. A senior Iraqi general called on Iraqis fighting for the Islamic State group in Mosul to surrender as the operation to retake the militant-held city entered the third day. AP/PTI

WITH ISIS (Daesh) under increasing pressure in Northern Iraq, it’s future in West Asia may well be decided by the battle for Mosul which began on October 17. Western electronic media is beaming live pictures of the hostilities which have not yet begun in earnest. However, it will be a long-drawn and tragically a very bloody affair. How are battles for major cities fought in modern times and what major issues will decide the outcome of this battle? Before delving into any detail it may be remembered that Daesh is not down and out yet. It has the resources, the will and the capacity to fight; especially since it’s so-called Amir, Abu Bakr Al Baghdadi is known to be in Mosul.Mosul is the second-largest city of Iraq, with a population which was earlier 2.5-million strong. Currently, approximately a little more than one million people reside there after Daesh defeated the Iraqi army in 2014. The presence of civilian population of this magnitude creates more problems for the attacker who has to restrict the use of firepower and tip toe around the populated zones, if the morals of warfare are implicitly followed. The defender, on the other hand, has the option of using the population as a human shield to prevent unrestricted movement of the offensive force. This isn’t conventional warfare so rules are grudgingly followed as is evident with the kind of destruction witnessed in  Fallujah a few months ago. Cities usually have suburbs and even further away from the city centre are  small rural clusters. These are used by the defender to prevent the offensive elements from closing with the city. Open stretches are mined with both anti-personnel and anti-tank mines and covered by missiles or anti-tank rockets to prevent tanks and infantry combat vehicles opening routes for the infantry. Once these peripheral zones are breached at the cost of heavy casualties, the defender will fall back on improvised explosive devices (IED) to cause more attrition as the battle moves into the city. The presence of population prevents the freedom of use of air power due to the high risk of collateral damage. In the case of the war in Syria and Iraq, estimates of civilian casualties from air strikes against cities have been extremely high. Entire stretches of Aleppo have been reduced to rubble and humanitarian considerations have not been in focus. To what extent the US air force will follow humanitarian norms in Mosul cannot yet be assessed. The battle for the core of the city will be equally bloody contingent upon the will of the defender, the resources available and, most importantly, the effectiveness or otherwise of the isolation and investment of the city. It is at that stage that the civilian population suffers the most. In Fallujah, one avenue of escape was kept open for the civilians to flee. Many Daesh fighters may attempt to exploit this opening too. What are isolation and investment? Before commencing the attack on a city, it is important for the attacker to cut off avenues of reinforcement or escape. The resultant isolation in the case of Mosul will ensure that Daesh fighters from elsewhere do not get in. Once the city is being reduced, there is no escape for Daesh to live and fight another day. The isolation involves placing tanks and  ICVs centred on infantry deployments which are occupied astride the roads and tracks which act as avenues. Since Daesh would have deployed in the rural clusters around Mosul to deny close reconnaissance and a foothold into the city it is important for the Iraqi army to push back a major part of these elements to afford launch pads, footholds and other multiple options for the direction of commencement of the main attack against the city. The intent is to keep Daesh guessing and address the crust of the defences to punch holes through which the attacking troops will be funnelled. The use of artillery to reduce the buildings from where resistance will be intense will be restricted but again contingent upon the discretion of the attacker. Once the penetrations have been effected, it becomes a slogging match. A city like Mosul is not closely packed with buildings. There are sufficient open spaces where helicopters can hover or land disgorging Special Forces who would target some specific objectives like command centres and communication facilities. The chief weapons of the infantry of the Iraqi army should be the rocket launcher to punch holes and destroy pill boxes; the sniper; and the flame thrower.  The term Iraqi army, is being generically used here to signify the attacking force. It is however well-known that the offensive against Mosul has three or even four elements. First, is the Iraqi army, largely Shia but with many Sunnis too. Second is the Kurdish Peshmerga of Masoud Barzani from the north. Third are the US Special Forces and air force. The  Shia militias are an important element, although there are reports that they may not participate unless things go wrong for the Iraqi army. The latest entrant is Erdogan’s Turkish army which is attempting to secure a role for itself in both Syria and northern Iraq to prevent undue influence and political significance to the Kurdish elements involved in the fight. The US has made it clear that the presences of any foreign armed elements require approval of the government at Baghdad and such approval has yet to be given. The planning, command and control and application of a force of such disparate groups with their diverse interests and operational methods will be a big  challenge. The possibility of some elements of Iran also being directly involved cannot be ruled out. Russia is unlikely to be directly involved but it has promised full support to the Peshmerga in terms of arms and equipment supplies. Russia has also provided helicopters and artillery equipment to Iraq with the intent of ensuring that it retains influence in a fight which will be dictated by US advisers and planners. The bewildering issue currently is the emerging relationship between Turkey and Russia which is apparently taking a positive turn. How the Russian support to the Kurds of any hue and nationality will be taken by the Turkish leadership is unclear at present. The factor which should be uppermost in all minds is the effect that the operations and the intensity of Daesh resistance will have on the civil population. The displacement of the large population is not something the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (UNOCHA) is fully prepared for, financially or from infrastructure point of view. For a change in Iraq the human angle is being looked upon with great concern but clearly resources do not match requirement. The challenge is greatly multiplied by Daesh’s propensity to remain unpredictable and resort to unethical practices such as a potential mass use of chemical weapons known to be in its possession. Finally, does the timing indicate any considerations other than military and strategic. With the US presidential election in another two weeks, could this have waited? That’s the question no one will answer for now.

 The writer, a former GoC of the Srinagar-based 15 Corps, is now a Fellow with the Delhi Policy Group.

Zakaria’s remarks come amid reports that India may review the 56-year-old Indus Water Treaty. File photo

Islamabad, October 20

Pakistan on Thursday warned of “appropriate action” if India violates the Indus Water Treaty and said it was closely monitoring the situation, amid reports that New Delhi may revisit the key water sharing accord.“Appropriate action will be taken in line with the Treaty in case of any violation by India,” Foreign Office (FO) spokesperson Nafees Zakaria said at the weekly briefing.Pakistan was keeping a close eye on the situation, Radio Pakistan quoted him as saying.Zakaria’s remarks come amid reports that India may review the 56-year-old Indus Water Treaty.He said that India was making “desperate attempts” to divert attention from the “atrocities and human right violations” being committed in Kashmir.He said Pakistan was highlighting Indian brutalities in Kashmir at world fora and there had been “very substantive outcome” of these efforts but the international community remains concerned about the situation.Responding to a question, he claimed that India violated ceasefire on the Line of Control for more than 90 times this year.The notion of isolating Pakistan is “ridiculous”, Zakaria said, adding that India’s “negative attitude” had been exposed which is the biggest hurdle in the way of regional development and prosperity.He also termed the Indian treatment to the Pakistani artistes as “very disappointing and highly regrettable” as he deplored India’s decision to “use SAARC for its political ambition”, according to the report.Zakaria also referred to a media report quoting US Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump, who described tensions between India and Pakistan as a “very, very hot tinderbox” and offered to be “the mediator or arbitrator”.Zakaria noted that though Pakistan does not comment on media reports usually, in this case it welcomed the mediation offer.“We continue to urge our American friends including those in the administration to play their due role in resolving bilateral issues between Pakistan and India, particularly the Kashmir dispute,” he said.“And definitely Pakistan has welcomed in the past also any role of mediation, we welcome such offers,” he added. — PTI

Chief of the Naval Staff Admiral Sunil Lanba, along with his wife, after inaugurating Beeji’s Park at DPS Dalhousie on Saturday.

Our Correspondent

Dalhousie, October 15

Chief of the Naval Staff Admiral Sunil Lanba, on the 46th Founder’s Day of Dalhousie Public School (DPS), today inaugurated Beeji’s Park as a tribute to mothers on the premises today.The park has a MiG 21 aircraft, two surface-to-air Pichorra missiles, a T-55 battle tank, a model of Shivalik Frigate and many other such items of interest.This inaugural ceremony was followed by the main function of the school. Students performed a cultural show which rendered the audience spellbound for two hours.A unique religious cultural rendition of ‘Hanuman Chalisa’ transformed the scenario into a spiritual atmosphere and bhangra performed by about 300 students created vibrations which made everyone to dance on the beat of drums.An impressive physical training show and Tae-Kwan-Do techniques were the other interesting features of this function.The Admiral in his keynote address exhorted the students that they were the future of the country and must imbibe the values of courage, integrity and service to the nation. He also praised the school for its clean campus and high level of cultural show.

Deals include purchase of missile systems, frigates and joint production of helicopters

Prime Minister Narendra Modi shakes hands with Russian President Vladimir Putin at the agreement exchange ceremony in Benaulim, Goa. — PTI

Benaulim (Goa), October 15

India and Russia on Saturday sealed a number of big-ticket defence deals, including purchase of missile systems, frigates and joint production of helicopters, besides deciding to deepen cooperation in a range of crucial sectors even as the two close allies resolved to fight terrorism unitedly.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Russian President Vladimir Putin held wide-ranging talks covering the entire expanse of bilateral engagement following which the two sides signed a total of 16 MoUs and made three announcements to boost ties in sectors like trade and investment, hydrocarbons, space and smart cities.

The two leaders also dedicated the unit two of Kudankulum nuclear power plant and witnessed foundation laying of its Unit 3 and 4.

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The defence deals included India buying the ‘gamechanger’ S-400 ‘Triumf’ air defence systems from Russia at a cost of over $5 billion. The two countries will also collaborate in making four state-of-art frigates besides setting up a joint production facility for making Kamov helicopters.

Reading out a statement to the media in the presence of Putin, the Prime Minister appreciated Russia’s understanding and support of India’s actions to fight cross-border terrorism, an oblique reference to India’s surgical strike across the LoC targeting terror launch pads.

“Russia’s clear stand on the need to combat terrorism mirrors our own. We deeply appreciate Russia’s understanding and support of our actions to fight cross-border terrorism that threatens our entire region.

“We both affirmed the need for zero tolerance in dealing with terrorists and their supporters,” Modi said.

Putin, on his part, said both countries have close cooperation in fighting terrorism.

Modi said the “highly productive” outcomes of the meeting clearly establish the special and privileged nature of strategic partnership between the two countries.

“They also lay the foundations for deeper defence and economic ties in years ahead. The agreements on manufacturing of Kamov 226T helicopters, constructions of frigates, and acquisition and building of other defence platforms are in synergy with India’s technology and security priorities,” he said.

The two sides signed an Inter Governmental Agreement for the purchase of S-400 ‘Triumf’ long-range air defence missile system which has the capability to destroy incoming hostile aircraft, missiles and even drones at ranges of up to 400 km.

Another important deal is for four Admiral Grigorovich-class (Project 11356) guided-missile stealth frigates.

Modi said they have agreed to work on an annual military industrial conference that will allow stakeholders on both sides to institute and push collaboration.

“These projects are new chapters in a long history of strong and diverse defence partnership that both sides can take much pride in,” he said.

He said, “We are working to model a partnership that befits our common ambition and meets our shared goals for the twenty-first (21^st) century.

“Our close friendship has given clear direction, fresh impulse, stronger momentum and rich content to our ties. In the emerging regional and global landscape, it has been a source of strength and substance, a driver of peace and a factor of stability.”

On cooperation in atomic sector, he said the dedication of Kudankulum 2 and laying of foundation concrete of Kundankulum 3 and 4 were examples of tangible results of India-Russia cooperation in the field.

“And, with proposed construction of another eight reactors, our wide ranging cooperation in nuclear energy is set to bring rich dividends for both of us. It also fits in with our needs of energy security, access to high technology and greater localization and manufacturing in India,” said the Prime Minister.

Talking about India’s expanding presence in Russia’s hydrocarbon sector, he said in last four months alone, Indian companies have invested close to $5.5 billion in that country’s Oil and Gas sector.

“And, with President Putin’s support, we are ready and willing to expand the scope of our engagement further. We are also undertaking a joint study of a gas pipeline route between our two countries.

“A combination of robust civil nuclear cooperation, LNG sourcing, partnership in the Oil and Gas sector, and engagement in renewables can construct a promising ‘Energy Bridge’ between our two countries,” he said.

The Prime Minister said the two countries also agreed to set up a Science and Technology Commission.

“Through this our societies will reap the benefits of joint development, transfer and sharing of cutting edge technologies in different fields,” he said.

On trade ties, Modi said both countries continue to expand, diversify and deepen economic engagement.

“Businesses and industry between our two countries are connected more deeply today. Trade and investment ties are on the upswing.

“And, with President Putin’s backing, we hope to fast track India’s association with Eurasian Economic Union Free Trade Agreement,” he said.

Modi added that efforts by the two sides for early setting up of the Investment Fund of USD 1 billion between National Investment and Infrastructure Fund (NIIF) and Russia Direct Investment Fund (RDIF) will help advance infrastructure partnership.

The Prime Minister said success of the Summit “shines a spotlight on the abiding strength of India-Russia strategic partnership.

“It also highlights our strong convergence of views and positions on pressing international and regional issues,” he said.

Modi said both he and Putin noted the similarity of views on the situation in Afghanistan and turmoil in West Asia.

“We also agreed to work closely to respond to the challenges posed by the unsettled nature of the global economic and financial markets. Our close collaboration at the United Nations, BRICS, East Asia Summit, G-20 and Shanghai Cooperation Organization makes our partnership truly global, both in its scope and coverage,” he said. — PTI

Lt Gen Jasbir Singh Dhaliwal, PVSM, AVSM, VSM.

Ex Colonel of The Dogra Regt        & Dogra Scouts.
Ex Director General Infantry       & Chief of Staff Northern Command. 

DSSC, SC, HC, NDC. DEFENCE ATAĆHE Myanmar.
Instructor, Cdo, Platoon Weapons.   ADC to President.
DS~Junior Comd & Senior Command.

ਪਾਲ ਸਿੰਘ ਨੌਲੀ
ਜਲੰਧਰ, 8 ਅਕਤੂਬਰ
ਸਾਬਕਾ ਫੌਜੀਆਂ ਦੇ ਹੱਕਾਂ ਲਈ ‘ਹਰ ਲੜਾਈ’ ਲੜਨ ਦਾ ਐਲਾਨ ਕਰਦਿਆਂ ਪੰਜਾਬ ਕਾਂਗਰਸ ਦੇ ਪ੍ਰਧਾਨ ਕੈਪਟਨ ਅਮਰਿੰਦਰ ਸਿੰਘ ਨੇ ਅੱਜ ਇਥੇ ਕਿਹਾ ਕਿ  ਕਾਂਗਰਸ ਦੀ ਸਰਕਾਰ ਬਣਨ ’ਤੇ ਸਾਬਕਾ ਫੌਜੀਆਂ ਨੂੰ ਕਿਸੇ ਤਰ੍ਹਾਂ ਦੀ ਮੁਸ਼ਕਲ ਪੇਸ਼ ਨਹੀਂ ਆਉਣ ਦਿੱਤੀ ਜਾਵੇਗੀ।
ਇਥੇ ਦੇਸ਼ ਭਗਤ ਯਾਦਗਾਰ ਹਾਲ ’ਚ ਸਾਬਕਾ ਫ਼ੌਜੀਆਂ ਵੱਲੋਂ ਉਠਾਏ ਮੁੱਦਿਆਂ ਨੂੰ ਗੰਭੀਰਤਾ ਨਾਲ ਸੁਣਨ ਤੋਂ ਬਾਅਦ ਕਾਂਗਰਸ ਆਗੂ ਨੇ ਉਨ੍ਹਾਂ ਨੂੰ ਸੱਦਾ ਦਿੱਤਾ ਕਿ ਉਹ ਹੁਣ ਮਿਸ਼ਨ 2017 ਨੂੰ ਫਤਹਿ ਕਰਨ ਲਈ ਮੋਰਚੇ ਸੰਭਾਲ ਲੈਣ ਤੇ ਸੱਤਾ ਵਿਚ ਆਉਣ ’ਤੇ ਉਨ੍ਹਾਂ ਦੀ ਹਰ ਮੰਗ ਪੂਰੀ ਕੀਤੀ ਜਾਵੇਗੀ। ਉਨ੍ਹਾਂ ਸਾਬਕਾ ਫੌਜੀਆਂ ਨਾਲ ਇਹ ਵਾਅਦਾ ਵੀ ਕੀਤਾ ਕਿ ਜਿਹੜੀਆਂ ਮੰਗਾਂ ਸੂਬਾ ਸਰਕਾਰ ਦੇ ਕਰਨ ਵਾਲੀਆਂ ਹੋਣਗੀਆਂ, ਉਨ੍ਹਾਂ ਨੂੰ ਸਰਕਾਰ ਬਣਦੇ ਸਾਰ ਹੀ ਲਾਗੂ ਕੀਤਾ ਜਾਵੇਗਾ ਤੇ ਜਿਹੜੀਆਂ ਮੰਗਾਂ ਕੇਂਦਰ ਨਾਲ ਸਬੰਧਤ ਹਨ, ਉਨ੍ਹਾਂ ਨੂੰ ਵੀ ਲਾਗੂ ਕਰਾਉਣ ਲਈ ਉਹ ਪੂਰੀ ਵਾਹ ਲਾਉਣਗੇ।
ਖਡੂਰ ਸਾਹਿਬ ਤੋਂ ਆਏ ਇਕ ਸਾਬਕਾ ਫੌਜੀ ਨੇ ਕੈਪਟਨ ਅਮਰਿੰਦਰ ਸਿੰਘ ਕੋਲ ਦੋਸ਼ ਲਾਇਆ ਕਿ ਸੱਤਾਧਾਰੀ ਧਿਰ ਨੇ ਉਨ੍ਹਾਂ ਨੂੰ ਕਥਿਤ ਝੂਠੇ ਕੇਸ ਵਿਚ ਫਸਾ ਕੇ 22 ਦਿਨ ਜੇਲ੍ਹ ਵਿਚ ਰੱਖਿਆ ਤੇ ਦਬਾਅ ਪਾਇਆ ਕਿ ਉਹ ਅਕਾਲੀ ਦਲ ਵਿਚ ਆ ਕੇ ਸਿਰੋਪਾ ਪਵਾ ਲਵੇ ਤਾਂ ਕੇਸ ਰਫਾ-ਦਫਾ ਕਰ ਦਿੱਤੇ ਜਾਣਗੇ। ਇਸ ਫੌਜੀ ਨੇ ਦੱਸਿਆ ਕਿ ਹਾਕਮ ਧਿਰ ਦੇ ਲੋਕ ਜੇਲ੍ਹ ਵਿਚ ਵੀ ਲੋਕਾਂ ਨੂੰ ਆਪਸ ਵਿਚ ਲੜਾ ਕੇ ਕਥਿਤ ਰਾਜਸੀ ਖੁੰਦਕਾਂ ਕੱਢ ਰਹੇ ਹਨ।
ਫੌਜ ਦੀ ਰੈਜੀਮੈਂਟ ਸਿੱਖ ਲਾਈਟ ਇਨਫੈਂਟਰੀ (ਸਿੱਖ ਐਲਾਆਈ) ਵਿਚ ਕੈਪਟਨ ਰਹੇ ਪੂਰਨ ਸਿੰਘ ਨੇ ਕੈਪਟਨ ਅੱਗੇ ਸਵਾਲ ਰੱਖਿਆ ਕਿ ਸਿੱਖ ਐਲਾਆਈ ਦਾ ਇਤਿਹਾਸ ਕੋਈ ਲੇਖਕ ਨਹੀਂ ਲਿਖ ਰਿਹਾ, ਤਾਂ ਕੈਪਟਨ ਅਮਰਿੰਦਰ ਸਿੰਘ ਨੇ ਵਾਅਦਾ ਕੀਤਾ ਕਿ ਉਹ ਰੈਜੀਮੈਂਟ ਦਾ ਇਤਿਹਾਸ ਖ਼ੁਦ ਲਿਖਣਗੇ। ਜਿਵੇਂ ਉਨ੍ਹਾਂ ਨੇ ਸਾਰਾਗੜ੍ਹੀ ਦਾ ਇਤਿਹਾਸ ਲਿਖਿਆ ਹੈ। ਕਰਨਲ ਰਘਬੀਰ ਸਿੰਘ ਨੇ ਦੱਸਿਆ ਕਿ ਜ਼ਿਲ੍ਹਾ ਸੈਨਿਕ ਬੋਰਡਾਂ ਵਿਚ ਸਾਬਕਾ ਫੌਜੀਆਂ ਦੀ ਕੋਈ ਸੁਣਵਾਈ ਨਹੀਂ ਹੋ ਰਹੀ। ਸਾਬਕਾ ਫੌਜੀ ਫੁੰਮਣ ਸਿੰਘ ਨੇ ਦੱਸਿਆ ਕਿ ਸਾਬਕਾ ਫੌਜੀਆਂ ਦੇ ਇਲਾਜ ਲਈ ਬਣਾਏ ਜਾਂਦੇ ਸੈਂਟਰ ਨੇੜੇ-ਨੇੜੇ ਬਣਾਏ ਜਾਣ ਤਾਂ ਜੋ ਬਜ਼ੁਰਗ ਸਾਬਕਾ ਫ਼ੌਜੀਆਂ ਨੂੰ ਸਹੂਲਤ ਹੋ ਸਕੇ। ਬਹੁਤ ਸਾਰੇ ਫੌਜੀਆਂ ਨੇ ਇਹ ਮਸਲਾ ਵੀ ਉਠਾਇਆ ਕਿ ਫੌਜ ਵਿਚ ਆਪਣੇ ਪੋਤਿਆਂ ਨੂੰ ਭਰਤੀ ਕਰਵਾਉਣ ਵਿਚ ਉਨ੍ਹਾਂ ਨੂੰ ਔਖ ਆ ਰਹੀ ਹੈ, ਫੌਜੀ ਦਾਦੇ ਵੱਲੋਂ ਆਪਣੇ ਪੋਤੇ ਨੂੰ ਭਰਤੀ ਕਰਵਾਉਣ ਲੱਗਿਆਂ ਉਸ ਨੂੰ ਖ਼ੂਨ ਦੇ ਰਿਸ਼ਤੇ ਦੀ ਛੋਟ ਨਹੀਂ ਮਿਲਦੀ। ਇਹ ਮੰਗ ਬਹੁਤ ਸਾਰੇ ਫੌਜੀਆਂ ਵੱਲੋਂ ਉਠਾਏ ਜਾਣ ’ਤੇ ਕੈਪਟਨ ਅਮਰਿੰਦਰ ਸਿੰਘ ਇਕ ਵਾਰ ਤਾਂ ਸੁਣ ਕੇ ਹੀ ਦੰਗ ਰਹਿ ਗਏ ਸਨ। ਉਨ੍ਹਾਂ ਭਰੋਸਾ ਦਿੱਤਾ ਕਿ ਉਹ ਜਲਦੀ ਹੀ ਇਸ ਮੰਗ ਨੂੰ ਦੇਸ਼ ਦੇ ਰੱਖਿਆ ਮੰਤਰੀ ਕੋਲ ਉਠਾਉਣਗੇ। ਇਸ ਮੌਕੇ ਕੌਮੀ ਪ੍ਰਧਾਨ ਭਾਗ ਸਿੰਘ, ਲੈਫਟੀਨੈਂਟ ਜਨਰਲ ਟੀ.ਐਸ. ਸ਼ੇਰਗਿੱਲ, ਲੈਫਟੀਨੈਂਟ ਜਨਰਲ ਜਸਬੀਰ ਸਿੰਘ ਧਾਲੀਵਾਲ, ਮੇਜਰ ਜਨਰਲ ਐਸ.ਪੀ.ਐਸ. ਗਰੇਵਾਲ, ਕੈਪਟਨ ਹਰਮਿੰਦਰ ਸਿੰਘ ਵੀ ਮੌਜੂਦ ਸਨ।

Syed Ata Hasnain

India’s surgical strikes in PoK against terror bases, hotly denied by the Pakistani establishment, were bound to evoke a response. Such a response, in fact, can be treated as confirmation of the strikes and their success. Pakistan’s deep state chose Baramulla as the response target and launched a sneak action against the co-located camps of the BSF and the HQ of 46 Rashtriya Rifles (RR).

There is tremendous misinformation in the public perception about the security of camps of all security forces. This must be corrected with an informed analysis of what we should now expect to unfold in the Valley theatre. The sneak action is just a subset of the overall response that should be expected from the deep state.

At the outset, to term these actions by terror groups as attacks is to give military legitimacy to them. These actions are mere sneak attempts by suicide attackers who are willing to die in the course of their action. Predictability is low and the aim is to create a splash with whatever can be achieved.

Baramulla can be classified as a knee jerk response with poor planning so as to cause casualties, divert attention, impose caution and thereby seek time for a more professionally planned and executed set of events which are likely to follow. It needs to be known that preventing a sneak attempt is always difficult because every part of the perimeter is not manned. If a penetration does occur damage control must be swift.

The unfortunate thing is that India quickly forgets its past experience. This is exactly what happened in 1999 in the wake of the Kargil operations and the forced retreat of the Pakistan army to the PoK side of the LoC. A small team of Pakistani terrorists (rarely, if ever, are local Kashmiris involved) staked out various camps, identified their weaknesses and routine and then attempted a forced or sneak entry.

Dressed in fatigues as they are, it is always difficult to identify friend or foe. They awaited an opportunity and then unleashed heavy fire, holding out till as late as possible until they were neutralised but not without having inflicted a couple of casualties. In many cases they were eliminated at the entry point itself, their deception having failed.

Who were these terrorists at that point of time? Many were death row convicts from the jails of Western Punjab and many simply HIV patients. They were tempted with fat sums of money for their families and motivated to do something for the faith and for the families as they were anyway on the path of doom.

A common modus operandi was to steal a car or better still an official government vehicle and use it as a decoy. In one case they almost made a successful entry into Srinagar airport by using a forest department vehicle and placing it behind a minister’s motorcade.

‘Fedayeen’, the term incorrectly used for them by the local media, made a tactical point without achieving victory. They imposed immense caution on all the security forces, forced a complete revamp of intelligence and camp security and led to more being deployed on defensive rather than offensive counterinsurgency operations.

Now with strength of foreign terrorists at the lowest in the Valley and the streets in turbulence the deep state has resorted to a return to the tactics of 1999. Its intent appears to be threefold. First, avenge the trans-LoC surgical strikes; second, force the security forces, especially the army, to defend itself; and third, create motivation for the youth not to succumb to the moral domination operations of the army which is backing the J&K police and CRPF.

In choosing to do the above the deep state can muster resources from within PoK for strikes at the LoC and its vicinity as in the case of Poonch, Tangdhar and Uri, because they lie in the shallow infiltration zone. To execute these acts deep inside the hinterland as in Baramulla, less than two days ago, it has to rely not on sleeper cells as much as active terrorists in the Sopore, Handwara and Rafiabad belt. By succumbing to the temptation of using its scarce resources in North Kashmir to make an impact, the deep state has jeopardised its balance if it had one at all.

Suicide attacks erode human resources and the counter-infiltration grid being robust will not permit making up numbers. If the army manages to keep up the good work at the counter-infiltration grid, the result will be more attempts at the LoC and its vicinity, including repeat attempts. The temptation of the hinterland may yet seize the deep state because of deeper connect with the people; the LoC zone population is not supportive of Pakistan.

What we can expect in the next few weeks is most likely an odd attempt of a Border Action Team at the LoC, offset in time with attempts on army installations in the LoC zone and a certain attempt at a high profile act in the hinterland.

We need to thwart them all. This will have a salutary effect too on the campaign to stabilise the streets in the Valley.